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Analysts say this year's fiscal policy is not positive enough next year is expected to reach 2 trillion deficit | Fiscal Policy | tax
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The upcoming Central Economic Work Conference in 2015 will set the tone for economic work. Many analysts of the 21st Century Business Herald reporter said that next year's economic growth will remain in a downward channel, maintain a proactive fiscal policy is necessary.
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January 1, 2015, the new "Budget Law" will be formally implemented, the new law of local government debt only provincial government issued government bonds. Local government debt financing platform route through the road will gradually shrink in the future to be dominated by government bonds, which will affect the 2015 budget deficit.
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Analysts generally believe that the deficit will be expanded, but still hold the top 3 percent deficit ratio. 2014 fiscal deficit of 1.35 trillion in 2015. To scale to what extent,louboutin online france, the views are quite different.
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A source in the 21st Century Business Herald reporter said that next year will focus on six tax reform taxes,scarpe hogan, the camp changed to increase will achieve full expansion around 2015, environmental taxes relatively mature discussion programs, ad valorem resource tax reform will further expand around the real estate tax legislation, tax and consumption tax reform will continue to advance.
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Active fiscal policy should not quit
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The first three quarters this year, China's GDP grew 7.3%, an increase of 7.5% over the second quarter, a quarterly rate of 7.4 percent was lower. Many institutional analysis in 2014 China's GDP growth rate of roughly 7.3% -7.4%,adidas france, down from 7.7% growth last year.
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Next year's economic growth is likely to continue downward, institutional analysis is expected next year GDP growth rate of roughly 7% -7.2%. This means that the proactive fiscal policy should not quit.
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Size of the deficit in 2014 was 1.35 trillion, an increase of only 150 billion yuan, the deficit was about 2.1%.
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Size of the deficit in 2013 was 1.2 trillion, an increase of 50% in 2013 Highlights proactive fiscal policy is: an appropriate increase in the budget deficit and government debt,pigalle louboutin, to maintain the necessary expenditure efforts to control the deficit ratio at 2.1%.
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Executives said will keep the deficit ratio of 3%. Researcher at the Institute of Fiscal Science PETER color on 21st Century Business Herald reporter said that the size of the deficit share of GDP, the deficit ratio that is less than 3%; the balance of the debt GDP ratio, debt ratio that is no more than it is the EU's standard 60% our generally strict compliance with this standard.
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By 2015 the situation faced different. Earlier,louboutin prix, the size of the deficit is a national,nike air max, local government debt through investment and financing platform is actually a local version of the national supplement the proactive fiscal policy. After 2015, the local government borrowing debt financing platform features will be greatly weakened.
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2015 The new "Budget Law" will be implemented, in which the local government borrowing debt, there are strict limitations. Since October this year,louboutin prix, the stock of debt for local government clean-up work is still underway classification, policy clearly central government financing function of local government financing platform should be gradually removed.
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Deficit or scale
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Government debt financing platform through channels are blocked, whether you want to supplement it by expanding the budget deficit? Parties divided.
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President of the Academy of Social Sciences Institute of Finance and Economics Strategic Aim was in a forum said, according to the current proactive fiscal policy next year and certainly expansionary tone, the deficit did not exceed 3%, according to the economic growth of 7 percent next year to calculate the deficit next year to keep space 1.35 trillion -1.9 trillion.
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PETER Choi said that the debt ratio will still be a deficit of 3% adherence to the bottom line, compared to 2013 will not be much change. Cleanup ongoing debt stock, some local governments bear the responsibility to repay the debt will increase; but government debt classified by corporate bonds, PPP and other ways to attract social capital can also achieve some thin.
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Hai Tong Securities chief economist Lee Thunder 21st Century Business Herald reporter said that next year's economic growth will continue downward, to implement a proactive fiscal policy. Deficit ratio in 2015 will be expanded to 2.5%, still within 3% of the bottom line, the size of the deficit can be expanded to 1.7 trillion additional 350 billion yuan.
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Thunder Lee further explained that, in fact, fiscal policy in 2014 is not positive enough, because with the 2013 deficit ratio is the same, at 2.1%. Under 3% of the bottom line, not in one step, so that 2015 can be gradually increased to 2.5%.
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Everbright Securities Xu high chief economic analyst for 21st Century Business Herald reporter said that at least the size of the deficit in 2015 should reach 2 trillion. Since the second half of this year related to the railway,louboutin prix, nuclear power and many other investment has been approved, next year these new projects need financing, financing platform for government financing function decline, the bond required by the patch.
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Bank of Communications chief economist Lian Ping, on the 21st Century Business Herald reporter said that next year's economic growth will be down, be counter-cyclical adjustment of fiscal policy will continue to maintain a positive trend,occhiali da sole marc by marc jacobs, the deficit will not be less than this year. To peel financing platform for government financing function, which requires a transition period of time, it is a budget deficit, financing platform is another piece of bridge financing capabilities.
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Continue to promote the six tax reform
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This year the field of taxation reform moves frequently. Camp changed to increase as expansion around, the adjustment of consumption tax, tax cuts for small micro-enterprise policy, involving clean-up, the introduction of corporate management fees budget reform framework, special transfer payments combined to rectify the like.
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According to the 21st Century Business Herald reporter, multi-year annual balanced budget this year has been piloted in several parts and places between provinces in 2015 is expected to expand the scope of the pilot. Tax reform next year, will focus on the camp changed to increase resource tax,nike air max, consumption tax, environmental tax, real estate tax and a tax.
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PETER Choi said that this year in accordance with the requirements of the Prime Minister Li Keqiang, and lost one-third of the entire special transfer payments, which would lay the foundation for the adjustment of the stock of financial funds next year, the future expenditure will be more inclined to the people's livelihood.
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According to the central deployment,chaussures nike, the camp changed to increase to be completed during the second five,calvin klein occhiali da sole, that in 2015 the industry will achieve full expansion around the camp changed to increase. PricewaterhouseCoopers indirect tax partner Hu Genrong has said the construction industry and real estate is expected to launch in the first half of next year, while the financial industry and the life of service is expected to launch in the second half.
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It is learned that environmental taxes by the NDRC and the Ministry of Finance,?chaussure louboutin, led the discussion program is relatively mature,japan occhiali da vista, is expected to be launched next year. Academy of Social Sciences researcher Zhang Bin FINANCE strategy for the 21st Century Business Herald reporter said that environmental taxes on the one hand is related to both the sewage charges fees for environmental protection, carry out tax reform, this difference is not; on the other hand,survètement adidas, it is for carbon emissions, how to control carbon emissions, but also to protect enterprises have the ability to pay, needs further study.
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By the National People's Congress-led real estate tax legislation as it relates to real estate transactions, ownership and other aspects of the whole taxes and the like,gucci occhiali da vista, in addition to exempt from standards and other issues, it remains to be to continue the discussion. Currently, the consumption tax adjustment,occhiali da sole, to remove part of an inappropriate tariff, the future is also expected to incorporate some high-end consumer goods, the collection of links section also transferred from production to marketing chain.
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Further said Zhang Bin, a tax reform should be comprehensive and classified, there are some technical issues to resolve, such as the tax generally imposed by the local tax departments, tax departments throughout the country information is not networked, mainly to be achieved with a tax classification comprehensive reform, not much reality.
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