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China nearly 50 million vacant housing units could do: urbanization Statistics misunderstanding
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China does not publish official data vacant room, and a data Southwest University of Finance and triggered a huge controversy. This key economic data relating to China controversy continues, a few days ago, Xinancaida made a further explanation.
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In the first half of this year, China Xinancaida Survey Research Center Family Finance report released in 2013, the overall vacancy rate in China's urban housing market reached 22.4%, to 48.98 million urban vacant housing units. In this regard,cappelli nba, the former chairman of Huayuan Property Ren Zhiqiang,louboutin souliers plat, said this is impossible. Dispute whereby fermentation.
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Xinancaida Chinese family financial investigation and research center director Gan plow conclusion is based on China Household Financial Survey Project (CHFS) data: urban areas nationwide housing vacancy rate was 22.4%, about 49 million housing units. Housing vacancy rate was 26.3%,2014 jeremy scott mega, about 27 million units. The fitness room vacancy rate of 23.3%,nike free run+ 2, about 200 million units. This data has been obtained and other real estate heavyweights Wang Zhigang identity.
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Ren calculated from the number of completed housing. From 1998 to 2013 the completion of the residential area of about 10.6 billion square meters, about 110 million homes. Among them, the real estate development of 67 million sets. By 1998 the amount of 240 million square meters of old houses demolished projections, demolished 16 years more than 30 million square meters, a net increase of about seven billion square meters of housing area. From 1998 to 2013, new urban population of about 220 million people, converted approximately 70 million new urban households. Thus,moncler bambino, the number of households and the housing cycle of songs of the same.
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After Ren questioned, who was willing to plow he has made a written response. In the October 24 jointly organized by the Southwest University of Finance and Economics and Finance Singapore Management University West - New Big & lsquo; the management of economies in transition - to China and Singapore, for example in international forums, Gan plow again to make more in-depth specialized response answer vacancy rate mystery.
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Gan plow said: This is a very big mystery,giubbotti peuterey, how to solve this mystery? We walked down a one to see so many vacant rooms,cappelli obey, but the math does not seem to be there are so many vacant rooms on the national macro large numbers. Solve this mystery is the mystery of urbanization. Urbanization that we have a full understanding. Vacancy rate of mystery to uncover this mystery by urbanization.
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The key is that, due to changes in statistical methods, many farmers live in the statistics from the countryside into the cities and towns,ksubi occhiali da sole, with tens of millions of households, and therefore the town house.
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First, CHFS defined housing vacancy refers to urban areas uninhabited family owner-occupied housing, comprising: a suite due to family reasons,moncler prezzi, migrant workers and other uninhabited housing; neither more suites family owner-occupied housing and no others living . For example, work in Beijing, Chengdu, empty house, vacancy rates are also considered.
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Gan said plow generally believed that the urbanization of rural residents to leave the residence, carry bag city life and work,marc jacobs occhiali da sole, which is the active city. Or they rent or purchase, rigid residence requirements. However, urbanization also comprise another often overlooked Urbanization: residence from rural into urban, rural residents in local towns and therefore counted as permanent residents,woolrich due insieme, is part of the urbanization.
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National Bureau of Statistics from 2009 to 2013 Historical Statistics with zoning and urban-rural classification codes. Only this time, the country 700,000 community (neighborhood, village) in 3.8% from the countryside into towns,louboutin paris, accounted for 11.8% of urban communities. Residents living in the community to become urban residents from rural residents, his domicile is not changed, and his house is still there, he lived in the original house.
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CHFS data also show that in 2013 and 2009,woolrich outlet online, each province's urbanization rate has been rising with the speed ratio is related to the city. Based CHFS data, in 2013 the resident to the population structure,sac à main longchamp, urban residents in agricultural household population, the city accounted for 14.3% passive, and active city accounted for 11%.
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From the demand for housing,magasin louboutin, the passive and active family town home town is very different, and is relatively close to urban household registration, but less than urban household registration, because they take the house into the city. It is not as active to passive home town to town family that had a lot of rigid demand, buy a lot of houses.
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Gan Li believes that, beyond the town from 2000 to 2013 70 million new housing units, at least in urban areas has added four or five million units,new balance femme, which is a passive home town brought in. You will see the city, the higher the proportion of passive area housing vacancy rate is also higher, since the building is not to say these rural families into the city free passive empty empty inside the housing. Because urbanization built a lot of houses, but the city does not need a lot of passive house,louboutin soldes, so housing is empty.
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Gan Li believes city residents are significantly more active city. Does not distinguish between types of city residents will lead to demand for housing is overvalued. Misunderstanding of urbanization may be one of the reasons leading to China more than 30 million sets of real estate construction. From the supply point of view is more supply, because of urbanization misunderstanding think there are many needs, but in fact most of the more than half of urbanization do not have such a demand for housing. From the demand point of view, is to make these more suites buy or build more houses sold,nike air max 90 femme, this is a very serious we supply demand mismatch.
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