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Mountains of cash in the hands of developers? Price is estimated that this year not even think
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Author: Wang Jie Source: State Property
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Central Bank data show that the end of May, broad money (M2) balance of 146.17 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.8%, chain growth rate fell sharply by 1.0 percentage point;
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Narrow money (M1) balance of 42.43 trillion yuan, an increase of 23.7%, the growth rate the previous month and same period last year 0.8 and 19.0 percentage points;
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Currency in circulation (M0) balance of 6.28 trillion yuan, an increase of 6.3%. Month net return of cash 162.2 billion yuan.
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God states see this set of data,louboutin pas cher, heart of a bear. Bank of Communications chief economist Lian Ping, explaining that, from experience,hogan online, M1 and M2 growth away from the enlarged, M1 rapid increase in domestic asset prices rise in the future may occur.
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Now, M1 growth continues to accelerate, M2 growth rate declined over the same period, only shows one thing: developers pocket money piled up! But land prices are rising!
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So the result is that developers have money but not easily get to, but the price they dare dare cover plate, because no matter the market accept it or not, anyway, I have plenty of money in the pocket!
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This is the logic of some developers now, which is why in April and May,hogan outlet online, everywhere developers cover plate does not sell,louboutin paris, price reasons for price increases.
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Too many hands the money!
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Residents of long-term loans and bill financing is the main factor pushing the size of loans in May. It is an analysis result of the central bank, and many institutions.
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So we see that in May new residents and long-term loans to 528.1 billion yuan, accounting for the month of new loans in the proportion of 53%, the highest value since 2008. You know, in China, residents of long-term loans mainly corresponds to the housing demand.
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Ouyang Jie,nouvelle nike, senior vice president of Metro Holdings believes that the more relaxed individual mortgage loans, bank lending will not be limited on the whole, this year from January to May to complete the personal loans 88.38 million yuan, equivalent to more than half of last year, an increase of 58.5 %, far exceeding last year,tiffany outlet, an increase of 21.9%, meaning that the central bank can add logic resident on the lever still holds.
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You can see that in the end purchase support, but more importantly, the developer of the hands of paying the money to get the financing side of the support.
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Real estate is a capital-intensive industry. Real estate companies tend to have a large proportion of the funds required to the financial sector,chaussure nike pas cher, other corporate financing,louboutin homme, credit lines and generally great.
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Data show that in May non-financial enterprises and government agencies and organizations loans increased by 359.7 billion yuan,cappelli sconto, 12.1 billion yuan to reduce short-term loans,louboutin souliers plat, long-term loans increased by 182.5 billion yuan, paper financing increased 156.4 billion yuan;
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Non-banking financial institutions loans increased 41.6 billion yuan. End balance of foreign currency loans to $ 780.1 billion, down 15.2% month foreign currency loans decreased by $ 18.1 billion.
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Ouyang Jie believes that deposit advance payment and mortgage loans reached 2.31 trillion yuan,louboutin homme, if coupled with development loans 0.89 trillion yuan, equivalent to sales of 3.67 trillion yuan of 87.2%. In other words, developers only need less than 13% of the funds to complete the January to May of 3.5 trillion investment, 590 million square meters of new construction area, and to maintain the 6.5 billion square meters of construction area under construction.
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At the national level of monetary policy, the real estate business is not bad money trend will continue to continue, after steady growth is still to rely on real estate.
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So dare to price increases?
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But one hot market,moncler gilet, while real estate financing unimpeded, but the hands of developers or store a large amount of money.
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The view was that, M1 and M2 can be seen from the data, traditionally M1 reflects an important indicator of business investment will (growing quickly in recent months), but the M2 growth rate has declined (no apparent rebound in investment).
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why? From the land market can be discerned. Despite the recent land market is very hot,cappelli hip hop, but the main investors are the central enterprises or financial enterprises, especially private housing prices has firmly secured before the industry leading 10 overweight but did not take place, chasing the high premium to buy the king.
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Although the sales good, but now the land is too high,louboutin soldes, I did not dare to buy land. Only put his money stood to see after six months is not a chance to buy land from the market. This is the voice of many developers to state Lord confided.
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But,ugg nightfall bottes, the buyers who would tangle, developers have money, do not buy land to open a new project,adidas france, pointing to the current project, the prices are too emboldened enough ah!
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Minsheng Securities Institute of fixed-income team of researchers Liang Lu Ping advise you at ease. Because real estate sales expected to follow a slow decline, although the decline is limited. Now wealthy real estate development enterprises, as banks will decline in risk appetite,hogan interactive shop online, the source of short-term domestic loans money will be tight.
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For buyers, the mortgage loans is the main direction of the inner serve the current and future period of bank credit, is pulling the main new loans data.
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Ouyang Jie said that although flood irrigation will not last, the currency over will be cool, but development loans and individual mortgage loans situation easing will not adjust for the real estate market, the market is not short of money throughout the year real estate sales will be higher than any previous year.
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Also,gucci occhiali da vista, note the pattern of differentiation of the city still does not change, the four-tier cities to stock and housing prices rose in parallel, which also confirms we said last year, & lsquo; line led, broad-wire, three or four lines stabilized stabilized, few cities still down view, after all, a house or to buy or not to buy.
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Ouyang Jie said that the hot second-tier cities will be less for the land and control prices in parallel, in order to avoid public panic purchase hot urban housing prices and panic rush, Wang phenomenon will also be with the central state-owned enterprises to snatch the king of ebb and reduce this is the best window of private enterprises take place in these popular cities.
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